Today’s MLB slate is loaded with fun matchups, so there are a bunch of player props to take a look at. Which MLB player props are the best to lock in? Let’s dive in.
MLB Player Props – Best Bets
Merrill Kelly Over 5.5 Strikeouts -145 (BetMGM)
Kelly is having a fantastic year so far, and he is in a great position to rack up strikeouts tonight against the Tigers. Kelly is in the 75th percentile for K rate, the 62nd for whiff%, and the 92nd for chase rate. The Tigers’ offense has fallen off a cliff. In June, they have a laughable 13 wRC+, and they have a .188 wOBA and a 32.7% K rate. There is no need to overthink this – Kelly is pitching well, and the Tigers cannot hit water if they fell out of a boat. Let’s ride the hot hand in Kelly.
Tyler Wells Over 5.5 Strikeouts -139 (BetRivers)
Wells is a lesser-known pitcher, but he has the goods when it comes to striking people out. Wells is in the 70th percentile for K rate, the 66th for whiff%, and the 51st for chase rate. Wells faced the Royals at Kauffman Stadium and only had four strikeouts in early May, but Wells is a better pitcher at Camden Yards. His K rate jumps to 29.9% when he is at home, and the Royals have a 24.4% K rate in the month of June. Asking Wells to get six strikeouts does not seem like too much to ask for.
Ranger Suarez Under 4.5 Strikeouts -136 (BetRivers)
Suarez had a late start to the season due to injury, and while he has pitched fine, he is not racking up strikeouts. He has gone over this number in just 1/5 of starts so far, and now he has a matchup against a lineup that destroys left-handed pitching. The Dodgers do not strike out a lot against lefties, and the Phillies bullpen is rested, meaning if Los Angeles jumps on Suarez, his leash will be short. Take the under for Ranger.
MLB Stat Sheet
Have you taken a look at GoldSheet’s new MLB stat sheet? For just $15 a week, you get daily breakdowns of pitching matchups, batters vs pitcher reports, advanced analytics, and two free betting picks a day. At just $2 a day for the week, what are you waiting for?
Have you seen the new GoldSheet MLB stat pages? Bookmark goldsheet.com/mlb-player-news for the latest MLB scores, stats, standings, and injury news.