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2023 NL Rookie of the Year Odds and Betting Predictions

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Play Ball! Opening day is Thursday, March 30th, so now is the time to dive into the MLB awards market. According to DraftKings Sportsbook, Corbin Carroll (+380) is the favorite to win the NL Rookie of the Year Award in 2023. Miguel Vargas (+450) and Kodai Senga (+900) have the next shortest odds.

2023 NL Rookie of the Year Odds

Player Team Odds
Corbin Carroll Arizona Diamondbacks +380
Miguel Vargas Los Angeles Dodgers +450
Kodai Senga New York Mets +900
Ezequiel Tovar Colorado Rockies +1000
Cade Cavalli Washington Nationals +1200
Elly De La Cruz Cincinnati Reds +1500
Francisco Alvarez New York Mets +1800
Spencer Steer Cincinnati Reds +2000
Brett Baty New York Mets +2500
Garrett Mitchell Milwaukee Brewers +3500
Michael Busch Los Angeles Dodgers +3500
Matthew Liberatore St. Louis Cardinals +4000
Ryan Pepiot Los Angeles Dodgers +5000
Eguy Rosario San Diego Padres +7500
Noelvi Marte Cincinnati Reds +10000
Brennen Davis Chicago Cubs +10000

Odds above courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook as of Wednesday, March 1.

NL Rookie of the Year Favorites

Corbin Carroll, Arizona Diamondbacks (+380) Carroll played 34 games with the D-Backs last year and finished with a .260 batting average, 27 hits, four home runs, and 14 RBIs. He is listed as the No. 2 overall prospect in baseball and already showed signs that he could contribute on the big league level. Given the D-Backs roster, it is anticipated that Caroll will see action early this season. 

Miguel Vargas, Los Angeles Dodgers (+450) Vargas played 18 big league games last season, ending with eight hits, one home run, and 13 strikeouts with a .170 batting average. He is the No. 48 overall prospect in baseball and the Dodgers’ No. 4 prospect. Vargas is expected to play a lot with the Dodgers this season, but he needs to break out in a major way to justify these odds of him winning this award. 

Kodai Senga, New York Mets (+900) Senga is a rookie in the MLB, but the 30-year-old has been playing professionally in Japan since 2012. Given his professional experience, Senga should have even lower odds of winning this award. He is projected to be the No. 4 starter in the Mets rotation, and if he is able to command his wicked slider, he can make a name for himself immediately.

NL Rookie of the Year Value Bets

Francisco Alvarez, New York Mets (+1800) Alvarez is the No. 13 overall prospect in baseball, and given the Mets’ need for a catcher, I expect him to play a ton this year. Alvarez has immense power, and he can help the Mets immediately. 

Elly De La Cruz, Cincinnati Reds (+1500) De La Cruz is the No. 6 overall prospect in baseball, and he should get service time early in the 2023 season. The Reds are rebuilding, so they might as well see what they have in this electric, young shortstop. He has yet to play in a big league game, but I expect him to come out strong this season.

NL Rookie of the Year Longshot

Sixto Sanchez, Miami Marlins (N/A) DraftKings does not have odds for Sanchez to win NL Rookie of the Year, but other books have him around +4000. Sanchez was expected to play a big role for Miami last year until injuries derailed his season before it started. Health is the biggest concern for Sanchez, but when he is rolling, he has elite stuff and warrants consideration for this award.

Past NL Rookie of the Year Winners

2022 – Michael Harris II, Atlanta OF
2021 – Jonathan India, Cincinnati IF
2020 – Devin Williams, Milwaukee RP
2019 – Pete Alonso, New York 1B
2018 – Ronald Acuna, Jr., Atlanta OF
2017 – Cody Bellinger, Los Angeles OF
2016 – Corey Seager, Los Angeles SS
2015 – Kris Bryant, Chicago 3B
2014 – Jacob deGrom, New York P
2013 – Jose Fernandez, Miami P
2012 – Bryce Harper, Washington OF
2011 – Craig Kimbrel, Atlanta P
2010 – Buster Posey, San Francisco C

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