Thursdays are always smaller MLB slates, and today we have 12 games to work with. What are the best MLB player props to bet on today? Let’s take a look.
MLB Player Props – Best Bets
Shane Bieber Over 5.5 Strikeouts -112 (FanDuel)
Shane Bieber is clearly not a strikeout pitcher anymore. He is in the 20th percentile for K rate, and he is in just the 41st percentile for whiff% and the 47th for chase rate. However, in his last three starts, Bieber has gone over this number twice, and he has a great matchup today to have a vintage performance. Over the last week, the Royals have a 29.1% K rate, and this current roster has a 28.6% K rate against Bieber. On the season, the Royals are 5th in the MLB in K rate against righties. Bieber should be able to clear six Ks today on the road.
Brayan Bello Over 4.5 Strikeouts -142 (FanDuel)
Bello is one of the bright spots in the Red Sox pitching staff this season, and he should be able to rack up five strikeouts today at home against the Marlins. Bello is in just the 40th percentile for K rate, but he is in the 49th for whiff% and the 58th for chase rate. He has gone over this number in three of his last four starts, and on the season, he has a 25% K rate at home. Miami is striking out at a 22.9% clip over the last four days, so this will not be easy for Bello. With that being said, he has the stuff to get the Marlins to chase, which they do above the league average.
Joe Musgrove Over 5.5 Strikeouts -114 (BetRivers)
Joe Musgrove is not having a great strikeout season, but he is inducing chases at a crazy clip. He has gone over this number in 5/11 starts this year, and he has a great matchup to make it 6/12 today in Pittsburgh. Over the last week, the Pirates are striking out at a 29.2% clip. Also, the current Pirates roster has a 33.3% K rate against Musgrove. This Pirates lineup has been one of the worst in baseball over the last month, and Musgrove should be able to take advantage today on the road.
MLB Stat Sheet
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