On Sunday, the Falcons and Jets face off for an interconference showdown. Both of these teams are looking to make a playoff run, and both of these teams need a win desperately. The Falcons actually are in first place in the NFC South, but if they do not win the division they will not make the playoffs, so they need a win. The Jets are fighting for a Wild Card spot, and their time is running out.
Who will win this important game for both teams? Let’s dive in.
Jets vs Falcons – Tech Angle
Atlanta is 5-6 SU and 3-8 ATS. The Jets are 4-7 SU and 4-6-1 ATS. Atlanta is 5-2 SU and 4-3 ATS in their L7 meetings with the Jets. Those games went 4-3 to the over. Atlanta is 4-1 SU in their L5 games against the Jets and 4-2 SU in their L6 games at the Jets. New York is 0-9 SU in their L9 games against NFC South opponents.
Both of these teams have anemic offenses and above-average defenses. Both of these teams struggle to score points. The Jets’ run defense is not that good, and running the football is Atlanta’s bread and butter. Tim Boyle was terrible for the Jets in his last start, and odds are he will not be much better in this start. With that being said, Atlanta has struggled this season against backup QBs, so Boyle has a chance to get New York’s offense rolling.
Jets vs Falcons – Analysis
Atlanta came off the bye and had a must-win game against the Saints at home with major implications for the NFC South crown. Atlanta took care of business. The Falcons had a pick-six, ran the ball for 222 yards, and beat the Saints 24-15. Bijan Robinson had the breakout game that people were waiting for, and the Falcons offense looked much better than it did in recent weeks.
Speaking of offense… the Jets do not have one. New York scored 13 points, and only seven came on offense against the Dolphins at home. The Tim Boyle experiment already failed, but New York announced he will start again on Sunday. Boyle went 27/38 with 179 yards passing, two interceptions, and he took seven sacks. If you did not see, New York attempted a hail mary at the end of the first half, and the Dolphins took it back for a touchdown before halftime. The game was over like that, and another terrible Jets season is almost in the books.
On Sunday, the Jets host the Falcons. Atlanta is 4-1 SU in their L5 games against the Jets and 4-2 SU in their L6 games at the Jets. New York is 0-9 SU in their L9 games against NFC South opponents. We do not think too highly of Atlanta, but this Jets team is impossible to back right now. We like the under, but it is 34, which is already too low for our taste. Atlanta should be able to run the ball on this Jets’ defense, and we do not anticipate Tim Boyle doing anything to get the Jets the win. This is the same Falcons defense that allowed a few backup QBs to go off on them, so there is hope.
The betting market has backed the Jets. There was early movement toward the Falcons, but Jets money came in, pushing this spread down below three to two.
Jets vs Falcons – Prediction
The under is a great place to look, but the number is so low already that it is hard to pull the trigger on such little points. The Jets in a teaser makes sense, but it’s also not a pick we are dying to run to the counter to make. Instead, if you wanted to have fun with this game, adding the under in a three-team 10-point teaser could be a good way to attack this game.
Prediction – Strong Lean to Under 34
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