NFL Looking For An Angle



Houston @
Kansas City

Texans 9-3-2 vs. spread last 14 as reg.-season visitor and 8-3 last 11 as reg.-season dog. Chiefs closed 2019 with wins and covers in last nine, covering last six at Arrowhead (all as chalk) after dropping preceding 4 and 8 of 9 vs. number as host. KC also “over” 44-23 since 2016, and last three meetings “over” since 2017. Teams split two games at Arrowhead last season. Tech edge-“Over,” based on “totals” trends.
Seattle @

Seahawks on 9-3-1 spread run away from CenturyLink Field in regular season. Visiting team is 12-4-1 vs. number in Seattle reg.-season games since late 2018. Falcons covered last 4 and 7 of last 9 in 2019, also winning 6 of last 8 outright. Hawks “over” 16-8 in reg.-season play since mid 2018. Tech edge-“Over,” based on “totals” trends.
NY Jets @

Road team has won and covered last four meetings. Bills were just 1-4 vs. spread at Orchard Park last season, Buffalo on 23-9 “under” run since early 2018, Jets “under” 5-1 last six in 2019. Tech edge-Jets and “under,” based on series and “totals” trends.
Las Vegas @

Rhule debut for Panthers. Raiders lost 5 of last 6 SU and dropped 5 of last 7 vs. line in 2019. Also “under” 6-1 last 7 in 2019, and “under” 21-11 since 2018. Panthers however closed 2019 dropping last 8 outright and just 1-6-1 vs. spread in those games, and only 3-7-1 vs. number last 11 at Charlotte since mid 2018. Panthers “over” 11-5 last season. Tech edge-slight to Raiders, based on team trends.
Chicago @

Bears have won all four meetings since 2018, covering three of those. Though note Chicago enters 2020 on a 4-13 spread skid. Bears were 1-7 vs. line as visitor in 2019 after winning and covering 4 of last 5 away in 2018. Lions dropped last nine outright a year ago and covered just 2 of last 11 in 2019. Detroit also “under” 11-2 last 13 at Ford Field. Tech edge-slight to Bears and “under,” based on series and “totals” trends.
Indianapolis @

Jags lost and failed to cover 6 of last 8 a year ago, but they have won and covered last four as series host vs. Colts (five if counting London game in 2016) and were 3-1 vs. line getting 6 or more points a year ago. Jags 8- 1-1 vs. number against Indy since 2015. Tech edge-Jags, based on series trends.
Green Bay @

Pack won and covered both meetings last season. Vikings however have won and covered last four and five of six openers under Zimmer. “Unders” 9-2 last 11 in series. Tech edge-“Under,” based on series trends.
Miami @
New England

Prior to upset in Week 17 last December, Dolphins had lost and failed to cover previous seven at Gillette Stadium, and had lost 10 in a row outright at Foxborough. Dolphins closed fast in 2019, covering 9 of last 12, all as dog. Patriots dropped 5 of last 7 vs. number in 2019, and now “under” 19-10 since mid 2018. Tech edge-slight to Patriots and “under,” based on extended trends.
Cleveland @

Stefanski debut for Browns. Ravens closed 2019 reg. season winning last 12 outright and covering 8 of last 9. Browns, however, did deal Baltimore its only reg.-season home loss in Week 4 and have covered last two at M&T Bank Stadium. Cleveland only covered 4 of last 12 a season ago after that win over Ravens. Tech edge-Ravens, based on recent trends.
Philadelphia @

Rivera debut for Washington (if he’s healthy). Philly has won and covered last four in series, both meetings “over” last season. Washington 2-8 vs. points last ten at FedEx Field. Tech edge-Eagles, based on team and series trends.
LA Chargers @

Chargers fell apart late 2019, losing and failing to cover 6 of last 7. Bolts 3-7 vs. line last ten away from home, and just 1-8 laying points a year ago. Cincy only 3-10-1 vs. spread last 14 at Paul Brown Stadium but was 3-2-1 last six as dog in 2019. Tech edge-slight to Bengals, based on team trends.
Arizona @
San Francisco

Cards played Niners tough last season and very unfortunate to get push out of second meeting after covering in desert. Big Red 4-0-1 vs. spread last five in series and on 11-5-1 spread uptick since late 2018. Cards 6-1-1 vs. spread away in 2019, now 7-1-1 vs. line last nine as a visitor. Niners were just 3-4-1 vs. spread at home in reg. season of 2019. Tech edge-Cards, based on series and team trends.