TGS SPECIAL REPORT...NFL SEASON WINS TO WATCH!
by Bruce Marshall, Goldsheet.com Editor and Chuck Sippl, Senior Editor

NEXT BEST BETS...It was not exactly an uneventful offseason for the Indianapolis Colts (8), who have the look of a team in transition. Two straight non-playoff campaigns are only part of the equation; the Colts also spent their offseason shedding bad contracts, aging vets, and unproductive players. Not to mention GM Ryan Grigson, who got the boot in late January, replaced by Chris Ballard, hired away from the Chiefs’ front office. Spared from the purge, at least temporarily, has been HC Chuck Pagano. But with a new GM in tow, Pagano is under heavy pressure. And when he will again have QB Andrew Luck, whose surgically-repaired shoulder (his latest malady) caused him to miss the entirety of the preseason, remains anyone’s guess. Now, Pagano might have to rely (at least for a while) on Scott Tolzien saving his job. Not comforting. Meanwhile, new GM Ballard turned over almost half the roster in the offseason, and there might be as many as 15 new starters on the field for this week’s opener vs. the Rams. Even Pagano might need a program to figure out who is on his team and who isn’t. Complicating things further are apparent upgrades at other AFC South outposts. No surprise, then, that we’re looking “under” at Lucas Oil Stadium.

OTHERS...Without much help from their QBs, the Houston Texans (8½) have still won the AFC South, almost by default, the past two seasons. We’re not sure Clemson rookie Deshaun Watson is the QB answer quite yet (Tom Savage likely keeps the seat warm until Watson is ready), but the “D” is still one of the AFC’s best. And, unlike a year ago, now has a healthy DE J.J. Watt in the fold. The South is also hardly the NFL version of the SEC West. The Texans give their Hurricane Harvey-weary fans something to cheer about with an “over” at NRG Stadium....Last year, plenty of things went right in the first half of the season for the Oakland Raiders (9½), including a pair of one-point road wins in September and various other close escapes. All until QB Derek Carr went down in the penultimate week with a broken leg. Carr is back, but maybe a bit worse for wear, and the “D” still has issues. And there are possible looming distractions with the move to Las Vegas in a few years. This time, it’s an “under” at the Coliseum....Yes, we expect some improvement from the Jacksonville Jaguars (7) with no-nonsense Tom Coughlin now running the front office of an operation that has been flailing like a hooked marlin off the Florida coast. LSU rookie RB Leonard Fournette should help. Unfortunately, there is still no definitive answer at QB, as the Blake Bortles experiment seems destined for an unhappy ending. Even if the Jags double their win total (3) from a year ago, it won’t be enough for “over” bettors to cash their tickets. It’s an “under” for us at EverBank Field.

NEXT BEST BETS...It is wise to acknowledge that no coach of the Washington Redskins (7½) on the watch of owner Dan Snyder has ever lasted beyond four seasons...and that includes past multi-Super Bowl winners Joe Gibbs and Mike Shanahan. Jay Gruden enters his fourth season this fall, but there are indicators that the operation is once again losing direction, with the notoriously meddlesome Snyder perhaps getting more involved after the offseason dismissal of GM Scot McCloughan. Moreover, there is the ongoing soap opera regarding QB Kirk Cousins, working on his second straight franchise-tag deal (though worth about $24 mill this season) and yet to sign a longer-term deal, with rumors that he will test free agency after the season generating more buzz in D.C. than whatever Mitch McConnell is up to in the Senate chamber. With the NFC East no picnic, some regression would come as no surprise with the Skins. Look “under” at FedExField.

OTHERS...The wheels came off for the Minnesota Vikings (8½) down the stretch last season when QB Sam Bradford didn’t have time to throw anything other than dink after dink, resulting in an NFL record completion percentage, but not much else, as the Vikes fell hard after a 5-0 start. Unless the OL has upgraded, it could be more of the same this fall, as Bradford might again not have time to look downfield, and Florida State rookie RB Dalvin Cook did nothing in preseason to suggest he’s about to become the new a bell cow RB. No worry that the Vikes become the first team to play a Super Bowl in their own facility; we look “under” at US Bank Stadium....Give Philadelphia Eagles (8½) GM Howie Roseman credit for finally completing his offseason mission of upgrading his cornerbacks by finalizing a deal for Buffalo’s Ron Darby in early August. After whiffing on several CB targets in free agency, Roseman now has the upgrade he needs, along with other reinforcements to his defense. Meanwhile, ex-Patriot LeGarrette Blount provides the big-back dimension that the offense and 2nd-year QB Carson Wentz badly need. After enduring another year of the Flyers, Sixers, and Phillies, the locals need something to cheer and talk about on WIP; look “over” at the Linc....Though we suppose that QB Aaron Rodgers might have other things on his mind after his recent break-up with actress Olivia Munn, the Green Bay Packers (10½) again appear to be the clear class of the NFC North. A healthy Rodgers is always a possible MVP candidate, and he has a big, new target in ex-Chicago/N.E. TE Martellus Bennett. Moreover, a secondary that was decimated by injuries a year ago now has a healthy look, and LB Clay Matthews will want to prove he deserves his new $60 million contract. It should be another North title and an “over” at Lambeau Field.
