TGS SPECIAL REPORT...US OPEN PREVIEW AT OAKMONT!
by Randy Haynes. TGS Golf Analyst
As always we are pleased to feature PGA Tour analysis from one of the top golf handicappers in Europe, Randy Haynes.
After the disaster that was The Masters, I have spent a lot of time re-working the golf analysis to try and right the ship for the US Open – the second major of the season.
Any preview of the second major has to account for Messrs Day, Spieth and McIlroy -- the current best players on the planet.
However, the combined pre-tournament odds of just over 2/1 (3.00) for one of those three to win the Oakmont test, is not for the likes of me.
Some books might post double that figure to try and attract your custom; but even though quotes of that nature do represent value, you have to weigh up the likely very low stake limits and small print conditions that will almost certainly be applicable.
After the front three, Dustin Johnson – who blew yet another major chance in this event last year – gets a 12/1 (13.00) common and then is it 25/1/ (26.00) and bigger the likes of Justin Rose, Phil Mickelson, Adam Scott and the rest of the 150 plus hopefuls.
Masters champion Danny Willett is 40/1 (41.00) and cannot be dismissed, along with fellow Chubby Chandler stablemates; the fast improving and very steady Mathew Fitzpatrick (66/1), Lee Westwood (80/1), Byeong- Hun An (100/1) and Graeme McDowell (150/1).
Note that An and Fitzpatrick are drawn together in the opening couple of rounds.
Definitely an advantage and one of them may well post a tournament leading first round score.
Chubby’s ISM group also manages Ryder Cup captain Daren Clarke – so this could be a major year for the Cheshire based organisation.
However, Branden GRACE and Matt KUCHAR will carry my monies this week.
At commonly available odds of 50/1 (51.00) and 40/1 (41.00) respectively, both players represent more than reasonable each way value – especially as many of the bookies are offering ¼ the odds 6 places (and some 7) for the place terms. Although be prepared to get out in play if “Kooch” strikes the front late on Sunday, as he is not the greatest front runner.
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