TGS SPECIAL REPORT...NFL PLAYOFFS WILDCARD UPDATE!
by Bruce Marshall, Goldsheet.com Editor

Colts-Packers was no artistic masterpiece, but provided such compelling viewing in Green Bay’s 13-10 overtime win (at that point only the second-ever NFL game to require extra time) that Rozelle couldn’t help but figure out that expanding the postseason to include an extra round of drama, such as the Colts and Pack provided, would prove a boon to league coffers and irresistible to CBS, which had exclusive TV rights for the NFL in those days. And when expansion added the New Orleans Saints as the league’s 16th team in 1967, Rozelle jumped at the opportunity to revamp the playoff format as part of a reconfigured league that would be divided into four four-team divisions. Naturally, the winners of the Western Conference divisions (the newly-christened “Coastal” and “Central”) and those in the East (forming the “Capitol” and “Century” Divisions) would compete against each other in an extra round of playoff action that was a hit with the pro football audience from the outset.
It was perhaps inevitable that an expanded playoff format would materialize, especially after the league began adding expansion teams in the 1960s (when the AFL also came into existence), although it took a while for the idea to resonate. Ironically, the trigger turned out and those in the East (forming the “Capitol” and “Century” Divisions) would compete against each other in an extra round of playoff action that was a hit with the pro football audience from the outset.


Alas, there was no such drama in the Western playoff, which was the only Packer postseason home game to be played in Milwaukee County Stadium. Green Bay would gain its revenge over the Rams, 28-7 (with the rookie Travis Williams again making an impact, scoring on a 46-yard run in the 2nd Q that would turn the tide of the game), before the Cowboys and Don Meredith, whose 86-yard TD pass to sprinter Bob Hayes highlighted the afternoon, would swamp Cleveland, 52-14, the next day at the Cotton Bowl to win the Eastern crown, and set up the Ice Bowl the following Sunday (more on that when we discuss the conference championship round in two weeks).
There was not much drama in 1968, either, as Cleveland would gain revenge on Dallas in a convincing 31-20 win in the Eastern Conference final at old Municipal Stadium in what would be Meredith’s final game, and the heavily-favored Colts eased past Minnesota, 24-14, to win the West.


The term “wildcard” wasn’t officially hatched by Rozelle, however, until the merger year of 1970, when the best division runner-up from the three divisions in each of the newly-created conferences (AFC and NFC) would be invited to the playoffs.
The wildcard concept was immediately embraced by the fans and the media, although there were only a few playoff games involving wildcards in the ‘70s that remain etched in the consciousness of pro football followers. Those battles worth noting would mostly involve the Dallas Cowboys, who won a memorable game as a wildcard entry at Minnesota in 1975 on Roger Staubach’s last-second “Hail Mary” TD pass to Drew Pearson, to this day a sore subject for Vikings fans old enough to remember (almost all of those fans believing that Pearson pushed off DB Nate Wright before making the winning catch). Three years earlier, Dallas also qualified for the ‘72 playoffs in the runner-up spot out of the NFC East after George Allen’s “Over The Hill Gang” Redskins claimed the division crown. Though finishing 10-4, that season was a bit bumpy for Dallas, which was defending Super Bowl champ but had lost Staubach to a shoulder separation in preseason, forcing HC Tom Landry to go with Craig Morton at QB for most of the campaign. Malcontent running back Duane Thomas had also become such a distraction that he was shipped off to San Diego before the trade deadline at midseason, and the defense was in transition due to age and injuries. Several close calls and a couple of flat efforts late in the campaign had most writing off Landry’s crew as it limped into the postseason for the seventh straight year.

The Cowboys found themselves in a hole from the outset after CFL import Vic Washington returned the opening kickoff 97 yards for a 49er TD, and the San Francisco lead would mushroom to 21-3 in the second quarter. Dallas, however, would creep back into the game by halftime after a Toni Fritsch field goal and a 28-yard TD pass from Morton to Lance Alworth, cutting the deficit to 21-13 at intermission.
Still, San Francisco seemed in control, and when Calvin Hill fumbled the ball away deep in Cowboy territory in the 3rd Q, the 49ers immediately took advantage with a one-yard TD run by Larry Schreiber (his third TD of the game) for a commanding 28-13 lead that would endure into the 4th quarter. Sensing the game slipping away, Landry decided to call upon Staubach, who had seen limited action since being reactivated late in the season, to relieve an ineffective Morton.
Things did not seem much better after Staubach immediately lost a fumble on a sack by 49er DE Bob Hoskins, although San Francisco PK Bruce Gossett would miss a 32-yard FG to keep the score at 28-13. Staubach would get Dallas moving on its next possession, but all that would result would be another Fritsch field goal to cut the 49er lead to 28-16 midway through the 4th quarter.

Game, set, and match to Dallas, completing one of the wildest playoff days in pro football history after Franco Harris’ “Immaculate Reception” had given the Steelers an improbable 13-7 win over the Raiders at Three Rivers Stadium a few hours earlier. The normally stoic Tom Landry was even moved to uncharacteristic emotion afterward. “It’s the best comeback we’ve had since I’ve been with Dallas,” said the coach.
(Also, now you know why it was an extra bit special for longtime 49er fans to finally beat Dallas in the playoffs when Dwight Clark made “The Catch” from Joe Montana in the 1981 NFC title game. Those who recalled the losses to the Cowboys from the early ‘70s thought it poetic justice for Dallas to have apparent victory stolen away at the last moment.)
Enough of the trips down memory lane. The playoffs would next be altered in 1978 with the addition of a second wildcard from each conference; more adjustments came in 1990, when a third wildcard team was added to each conference, upping the total number of postseason participants to 12. This also doubled the number of games in wildcard weekend (from 2 to 4), as now only the top two division winners from each conference would get a “bye” in the first round, and the division winner with the worst record was thrown in with the wildcard teams in the initial playoff weekend.
When the NFL eventually reconfigured its divisions (from 6 to 8) in 2002, the wildcard round wasn’t fundamentally altered. Although there would technically be only two wildcards (as opposed to three), there would still be the same four games on wildcard weekend, which now featured the two division winners with the worst records along with two wildcard entries from each conference.
Historically, the wildcard round has been more-fertile territory for the underdogs, which over the years have generally fared better in this round than in subsequent Division Round or conference championships. That, however, has not been the case the past two seasons, in particular a year ago, when all four favorites covered the number in the wildcard round. And after the chalk posted a 3-1 mark the previous 2011 campaign, wildcard-round dogs have been slumping lately, with a 1-7 mark the past two seasons. Which should only serve as a reminder that trends with such a thin number of examples are apt to turn around on a moment’s notice; after all, in 2010, all four wildcard round underdogs were pointspread winners. The shorter-priced (1-3 point) dogs still stand 27-19-2 vs. the number since ‘78, including 10-5 against the spread the last five years. Home dogs, usually rare in playoff action, are 13-5 vs. the points in first-round games since ‘78, though one of those also lost a season ago when the 3-point dog Redskins fell at home to the Seahawks.
Still, for most of the past 35 seasons (with a few glaring exceptions such as 2011 & 2012), wildcard-round underdogs have generally fared well. Many insiders believe the absence of the top two conference seeds in the first round has contributed to better overall underdog marks than in subsequent rounds, but it’s worth noting that one-sided results are still fairly common in the wildcard-round games, with 15 of 32 contests since 2005 being decided by 14 points or more, as have close to half of them (52 of 114) since the wildcard round was introduced in 1978. “Totals” results were also pronounced in wildcard action last season when the “unders” prevailed in all four games, although prior to a year ago, “totals” results were fairly well split (“unders” 24-23-1) since 1990.
Following are the pointspread results for wildcard playoff games since 1978 (excluding the 1982 “strike” season, when all of that year’s 16 playoff teams participated in first-round games).
NFL WILDCARD PLAYOFF GAMES SINCE 1978
CATEGORY VS. POINTS
1-3 pt. dogs ...27-19-2
3½-6½ pt. dogs ...18-19-1
7-pt. or more dogs ...13-14
Home dogs ...13-5
Road dogs ...44-47-3
CATEGORY VS. POINTS
1-3 pt. dogs ...27-19-2
3½-6½ pt. dogs ...18-19-1
7-pt. or more dogs ...13-14
Home dogs ...13-5
Road dogs ...44-47-3
Margins of victory (114 total games)—22 games have been decided by 1-3 points, 26 games by 4-7 points, 14 games by 8-13 points, and 52 games have been decided by 14 points or more.
