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Key Releases

NFL Key Releases

Date

Event

Play

Sunday 11/3/2019

Jacksonville vs Houston

Under the total

 

Chicago @ Philadelphia

Philadelphia by 15

 

Baltimore @ New England

New England by 14

 

College Key Releases

Date

Event

Play

Saturday 9/8/2020

Troy @ Coastal Carolina

Troy by 10

 

Boston College @ Syracuse

Boston College by 8

 

Oregon @ Southern California

Southern California by 6

 

Florida vs Georgia

Florida by 7

 

NFL Analysis

 

NFL Key Releases

Date

Event

Play

Sunday 11/3/2019

Jacksonville vs Houston

Under the total

 

Chicago @ Philadelphia

Philadelphia by 15

 

Baltimore @ New England

New England by 14

 

Thursday, October 31, 2020

 

Predicted Score

GS Line

GS Power Rating

PR Line

San Francisco

28

-7

0

-7

Arizona

13

 

9 (2)

 

Maybe Halloween is an appropriate game date this week for Arizona, which might suit up anyone who shows up at Glendale dressed in a Cardinals RB costume. With injuries to Chase Edmonds and David Johnson, journeymen Zach Zenner and Alfred Morris (both just signed within the last week) likely to be Kyler Murray’s infantry diversions, a scary thought vs. voracious SF D that’s held all foes to 20 or fewer. Little resemblance between high-flying, unbeaten 49ers and three stiffs Kliff Kingsbury’s team recently beat to notch its wins. Big Red’s 8-game SU series win streak (vs. much-lesser SF editions) likely ends tonight. TV-FOX

Previous meetings

Date

Team

Score

Line

1st down

RA/RY

PC/PA/I/PY

F/F lost

10/7/18

Arizona

28

40.5 (un)

10

23/56

10/25/0/164

2/0

 

San Francisco

18

-3.5

33

34/147

34/54/2/300

4/3

11/28/18

San Francisco

15

-2

20

21/88

23/30/1/233

1/1

 

Arizona

18

40.5 (un)

16

31/107

14/28/0/160

2/0

SU Record: San Francisco 28-23

 

Sunday, November 3, 2019

 

Predicted Score

GS Line

GS Power Rating

PR Line

Jacksonville

20

 

4

 

Houston

17

-1

3

-1

*** Key Release: Under the Total

Bill O’Brien might be scouting the Chelsea or Arsenal rosters for some defensive help after J.J. Watt was KO’d with a shoulder injury vs. Raiders. And with Houston walking such a tightrope most weeks (7 of 8 games decided by 7 or fewer), O’Brien can ill afford to lose key cogs. Remember, Doug Marrone went for broke with 2-pt. conversion try in final seconds of Gardner Minshew’s first start at Houston on Sept. 15, and Minshew has been able to steer Jags to 4-2 SU mark L6. “Totals” alert–last three meetings comfortably “under” including Week 2 nailbiter at NRG. (at Wembley Stadium, London, England)

Previous meetings

Date

Team

Score

Line

1st down

RA/RY

PC/PA/I/PY

F/F lost

9/5/19

Jacksonville

13

43 (un)

16

21/103

16.29/0/137

2/0

 

Houston

12

-7.5

17

30/126

23/33/0/178

3/1

10/21/18

Houston

20

42.5 (un)

15

37/141

12/24/0/131

1/0

 

Jacksonville

7

-4

15

22/70

27/42/1/189

3/2

12/30/18

Jacksonville

3

39.5 (un)

6

16/30

15/28/1/89

1/1

 

Houston

20

-7

23

33/134

25/35/0/208

2/1

SU Record: Houston 22-13

 

 

Predicted Score

GS Line

GS Power Rating

PR Line

Washington

13

 

13

 

Buffalo

19

-9

6 (2)

-9

Trivia buffs might find it interesting that it was the George Allen Redskins who were the opposition when Bills christened then-called Rich Stadium in ‘73 preseason. Appropriate mention because Washington might want to give Sonny Jurgensen or Bill Kilmer a call to play QB after Case Keenum’s concussion vs. the Vikes could force Ohio State rookie Dwayne Haskins into the starting lineup before he’s ready. In that case, Skins look much like the also-rans Buffalo fattened up against to break 5-1. But with Keenum, points may work vs. Bills O that’s scored 14 or fewer in 3 of last 4.

Previous meetings

Date

Team

Score

Line

1st down

RA/RY

PC/PA/I/PY

F/F lost

12/20/15

Buffalo

25

-2

 

 

 

 

 

Washington

35

45.5 (ov)

 

 

 

 

SU Record: Buffalo 8-6

 

 

Predicted Score

GS Line

GS Power Rating

PR Line

Chicago

12

 

6

 

Philadelphia

27

-6.5

2 (3)

-7

*** Key Release: Philadelphia by 15

The NFL trade deadline isn’t like the NHL’s, where the Blackhawks would have their choice of wings and centers to generate some offense. Unfortunately for the Bears, Matt Nagy is unlikely to get that sort of help for his O, which has no option at QB other than vet Chase Daniel for struggling Mitch Trubisky, whose selection ahead of Deshaun Watson and Patrick Mahomes in the 2017 draft is coming back to haunt GM Ryan Pace. No Cody Parkey on roster to miss another FG like the one that cost Chicago in wild card round vs. Philly in January, but after getting their infantry rolling at Buffalo, doubt the Birds will have to leave it similarly late this week.

Previous meetings

Date

Team

Score

Line

1st down

RA/RY

PC/PA/I/PY

F/F lost

1/6/19

Philadelphia

16

42 (un)

21

23/42

25/40/2/258

0/0

 

Chicago

15

-6.5

17

18/65

26/43/0/291

0/0

11/26/17

Chicago

3

43.5 (un)

 

 

 

 

 

Philadelphia

31

-13.5

 

 

 

 

9/19/16

Philadelphia

29

43

 

 

 

 

 

Chicago

14

-3

 

 

 

 

SU Record: Chicago 16-13

 

 

Predicted Score

GS Line

GS Power Rating

PR Line

Minnesota

20

 

0

 

Kansas City

27

-1

3 (3)

PK

These two are linked in NFL lore from Super Bowl IV, and some of the old Chiefs on hand for the Packers last Sunday might want to stick around for this one. Even if Patrick Mahomes still sidelined, no need for Len Dawson to suit up, as Matt Moore serviceable out of bullpen (even in the close loss last Sunday) and is 20-11 vs. the line as a starter in his career. Willie Lanier doesn t need to suit up, either, because Kirk Cousins unlikely to scramble like Aaron Rodgers out of Vikings new moving pocket. And even with recent win streak, Minny still sub-.500 (5-6-1 SU) away since LY.

Previous meetings

Date

Team

Score

Line

1st down

RA/RY

PC/PA/I/PY

F/F lost

2015

Kansas City

10

43.5 (un)

 

 

 

 

 

Minnesota

16

-3.5

 

 

 

 

SU Record: Kansas City 7-5

 

 

Predicted Score

GS Line

GS Power Rating

PR Line

NY Jets

19

-6

11

-6

Miami

20

 

19 (2)

 

Maybe among the “ghosts” Sam Darnold believes he has seen lately is that of Harry Wismer, whose old NY Titans were the laughingstock of the AFL before Sonny Werblin and his partners stepped in to create the Jets. But the current NY edition is not much better off than the old Titans, as even Al Roker and Hoda are starting to wonder if Adam Gase might be a one-and-done HC with Darnold seemingly making no progress. Gase’s old Miami team might not have a better chance to avoid the big donut this season, as Dolphins showed some life with Ryan Fitzpatrick in spread covers vs. Skins and Bills before last Monday at Pittsburgh.

Previous meetings

Date

Team

Score

Line

1st down

RA/RY

PC/PA/I/PY

F/F lost

2018

Miami

20

43 (un)

18

31/135

17/23/0/122

3/2

 

NY Jets

12

-3

21

19/42

25/41/2/320

4/1

11/26/17

NY Jets

6

43 (un)

15

21/80

21/39/4/202

0/0

 

Miami

13

-3

7

27/64

15/24/0/104

0/0

SU Record: NY Jets 54-52-1

 

 

Predicted Score

GS Line

GS Power Rating

PR Line

Indianapolis

20

 

3

 

Pittsburgh

26

-2

4 (3)

-2

Pittsburgh’s poised, good-decision- making QB Mason Rudolph has the Monday Night game vs. Miami to get back in a groove after being out 3 weeks due to a concussion vs. Baltimore on Oct.6. So, would give the nod to defensively-improved Steelers, who’ve become tougher vs. the run (3.8 ypc) thanks to ubiquitous Michigan rookie LB Devin Bush & tighter covering in the secondary (8 ints. TY; 8 all of LY) aided by the recent acquisition from Miami of FS Minkah Fitzpatrick. So believe Indy QB Jacoby Brissett, who has performed on a high level, will have some trouble finding his rhythm with top RB Marlon Mack being mostly contained. Steelers own the most versatile weapon in RB James Conner (235 YR, 26 catches), and watch for top deep threat Ju Ju Smith-Schuster to  do biz against a Colt secondary, with only 5 picks. Also, favor “over” with Colts going that way 6-3 TY and Mike Tomlin’s crew 6-3 “over” last 9 at Heinz Field.

Previous meetings

Date

Team

Score

Line

1st down

RA/RY

PC/PA/I/PY

F/F lost

2017

Pittsburgh

20

-10.5

 

 

 

 

 

Indianapolis

17

46.5 (un)

 

 

 

 

2016

Pittsburgh

28

-8.5

 

 

 

 

 

Indianapolis

7

50 (un)

 

 

 

 

SU Record: Pittsburgh 22-6

 

 

Predicted Score

GS Line

GS Power Rating

PR Line

Detroit

31

 

6

 

Oakland

26

-2

7 (3)

-2

Since Detroit QB Matthew Stafford (65%, 16 TD P, 4 ints.) is in the midst of probably his best season ever, would recommend bucking peripatetic Oakland in its first home game since Sept. 15th. Stafford and his dangerous WR trio of Marvin Jones Jr., Kenny Golladay & Danny Amendola will be a problematic for a permissive Raider D (27.4 ppg; ranked 30th), which has only 13 sacks & 4 interceptions. Sure, the Lions' defensive numbers are similar, but the Raiders are not as lethal at wide receiver, with TE Darren Waller collecting more than twice as many receptions as the No. 2 guy, And Detroit is one of the few teams to strictly play man-to-man in the NFL under HC Matt Patricia (former Pat d.c.), who might get back his elite cover guy, All-Pro CB Darius Slay, from a hamstring injury. Keep in mind that Lions, who nearly upset both Kansas City and Green Bay, are 5-1 last 6 as an underdog since later 2018.

Previous meetings

Date

Team

Score

Line

1st down

RA/RY

PC/PA/I/PY

F/F lost

2015

Oakland

13

49 (un)

 

 

 

 

 

Detroit

18

-1.5

 

 

 

 

SU Record: Tied 6-6

 

 

Predicted Score

GS Line

GS Power Rating

PR Line

Tampa Bay

26

 

7

 

Seattle

28

-7

2 (3)

-8

These two franchises are forever linked as they entered the NFL together in ‘76. Expect more action than their first-ever meeting that year when Jim Zorn outdueled Steve Spurrier (yes, that Steve Spurrier) in a memorable 13-10 Seattle win. But like their ‘76 predecessors, Seahawks not extending margins, and in fact the underdog side has now covered in 1 0 straight Seattle games dating to late 2018! Bucs betrayed by an early ref’s whistle on potential go-ahead TD last week vs. Titans, and Jameis Winston didn’t play as bad as stats suggest (receiver errors to blame for 2 picks).

Previous meetings

Date

Team

Score

Line

1st down

RA/RY

PC/PA/I/PY

F/F lost

2016

Seattle

5

-5.5

 

 

 

 

 

Tampa Bay

14

45.5 (un)

 

 

 

 

SU Record: Seattle 8-5

 

 

Predicted Score

GS Line

GS Power Rating

PR Line

Cleveland

16

 

6

 

Denver

17

-1.5

7 (3)

-2

Maybe Vic Fangio ought to do like Les Miles at Kansas and change his o.c. midstream as Rich Scangarello’s timid play- calling is about to cause a mile-high mutiny led by Joe Flacco, who was livid after Broncos’ third last-second loss a week ago at Indy. Until then, the Denver O looks like a re-run of the first half of Super Bowl XII when Craig Morton was overwhelmed by the Dallas Doomsday Defense. But as long as John Elway doesn’t deal away key cogs on D before deadline, Fangio could outscheme Cleveland’s overburdened Freddie Kitchens. Denver “under” run now at 15-2!

Previous meetings

Date

Team

Score

Line

1st down

RA/RY

PC/PA/I/PY

F/F lost

2018

Cleveland

17

47 (un)

21

28/134

18/31/1/175

1/1

 

Denver

16

-1.5

22

20/32

31/48/2/238

0/0

SU Record: Denver 23-6

 

 

Predicted Score

GS Line

GS Power Rating

PR Line

New England

27

-6

-5

-4

Baltimore

13

 

1 (2)

 

*** Key Release: New England by 14

Intriguing Sunday Night clash between two division leading teams that could possibly meet again in the AFC title game.  And while we have utmost respect for Baltimore’s unique & special QB Lamar Jackson (1650 YP & 11 TDP; team-high 576 YR), we still seriously doubt he continues to be such a force against the NFL-leading New England D (5.4 ppg; 31 sacks, 19 ints.), spearheaded by LB Dont’a Hightower, the heart and  brains  of  the  front  seven,  &  perennial  Al-Pro  CB  Stephon  Gilmore. Conversely, envision the Pats’ ageless, future HOF Tom Brady, who now has another weapon in recently acquired WR Mohammed Sanu,  to methodically move the sticks vs. a Raven D (only 12 sacks), which has had trouble vs. upper- tier field generals.  Moreover, N.E. mentor Bill Belichick, who just became the 3rd   HC to reach the 300-win plateau, has won an NFL-record 21 straight  vs. rookie or 2nd-year QBs!  Note, fast-starting Pats have outscored foes 88-6 in the first Q TY!  Also, N.E. 13-3 “under” last 16 reg.-season games.  TV-NBC

Previous meetings

Date

Team

Score

Line

1st down

RA/RY

PC/PA/I/PY

F/F lost

2016

Baltimore

23

45 (ov)

 

 

 

 

 

New England

30

-6.5

 

 

 

 

SU Record: New England 10-3

 

 

Predicted Score

GS Line

GS Power Rating

PR Line

NY Jets

19

-6

11

-6

Miami

20

 

19 (2)

 

Maybe among the “ghosts” Sam Darnold believes he has seen lately is that of Harry Wismer, whose old NY Titans were the laughingstock of the AFL before Sonny Werblin and his partners stepped in to create the Jets. But the current NY edition is not much better off than the old Titans, as even Al Roker and Hoda are starting to wonder if Adam Gase might be a one-and-done HC with Darnold seemingly making no progress. Gase’s old Miami team might not have a better chance to avoid the big donut this season, as Dolphins showed some life with Ryan Fitzpatrick in spread covers vs. Skins and Bills before last Monday at Pittsburgh.

Previous meetings

Date

Team

Score

Line

1st down

RA/RY

PC/PA/I/PY

F/F lost

2018

Miami

20

43 (un)

18

31/135

17/23/0/122

3/2

 

NY Jets

12

-3

21

19/42

25/41/2/320

4/1

11/26/17

NY Jets

6

43 (un)

15

21/80

21/39/4/202

0/0

 

Miami

13

-3

7

27/64

15/24/0/104

0/0

SU Record: NY Jets 54-52-1

 

 

Predicted Score

GS Line

GS Power Rating

PR Line

Indianapolis

20

 

3

 

Pittsburgh

26

-2

4 (3)

-2

Pittsburgh’s poised, good-decision- making QB Mason Rudolph has the Monday Night game vs. Miami to get back in a groove after being out 3 weeks due to a concussion vs. Baltimore on Oct.6. So, would give the nod to defensively-improved Steelers, who’ve become tougher vs. the run (3.8 ypc) thanks to ubiquitous Michigan rookie LB Devin Bush & tighter covering in the secondary (8 ints. TY; 8 all of LY) aided by the recent acquisition from Miami of FS Minkah Fitzpatrick. So believe Indy QB Jacoby Brissett, who has performed on a high level, will have some trouble finding his rhythm with top RB Marlon Mack being mostly contained. Steelers own the most versatile weapon in RB James Conner (235 YR, 26 catches), and watch for top deep threat Ju Ju Smith-Schuster to  do biz against a Colt secondary, with only 5 picks. Also, favor “over” with Colts going that way 6-3 TY and Mike Tomlin’s crew 6-3 “over” last 9 at Heinz Field.

Previous meetings

Date

Team

Score

Line

1st down

RA/RY

PC/PA/I/PY

F/F lost

2017

Pittsburgh

20

-10.5

 

 

 

 

 

Indianapolis

17

46.5 (un)

 

 

 

 

2016

Pittsburgh

28

-8.5

 

 

 

 

 

Indianapolis

7

50 (un)

 

 

 

 

SU Record: Pittsburgh 22-6

 

 

Predicted Score

GS Line

GS Power Rating

PR Line

NY Jets

19

-6

11

-6

Miami

20

 

19 (2)

 

Maybe among the “ghosts” Sam Darnold believes he has seen lately is that of Harry Wismer, whose old NY Titans were the laughingstock of the AFL before Sonny Werblin and his partners stepped in to create the Jets. But the current NY edition is not much better off than the old Titans, as even Al Roker and Hoda are starting to wonder if Adam Gase might be a one-and-done HC with Darnold seemingly making no progress. Gase’s old Miami team might not have a better chance to avoid the big donut this season, as Dolphins showed some life with Ryan Fitzpatrick in spread covers vs. Skins and Bills before last Monday at Pittsburgh.

Previous meetings

Date

Team

Score

Line

1st down

RA/RY

PC/PA/I/PY

F/F lost

2018

Miami

20

43 (un)

18

31/135

17/23/0/122

3/2

 

NY Jets

12

-3

21

19/42

25/41/2/320

4/1

11/26/17

NY Jets

6

43 (un)

15

21/80

21/39/4/202

0/0

 

Miami

13

-3

7

27/64

15/24/0/104

0/0

SU Record: NY Jets 54-52-1

 

Monday, November 4, 2019

 

Predicted Score

GS Line

GS Power Rating

PR Line

Indianapolis

20

 

3

 

Pittsburgh

26

-2

4 (3)

-2

Pittsburgh’s poised, good-decision- making QB Mason Rudolph has the Monday Night game vs. Miami to get back in a groove after being out 3 weeks due to a concussion vs. Baltimore on Oct.6. So, would give the nod to defensively-improved Steelers, who’ve become tougher vs. the run (3.8 ypc) thanks to ubiquitous Michigan rookie LB Devin Bush & tighter covering in the secondary (8 ints. TY; 8 all of LY) aided by the recent acquisition from Miami of FS Minkah Fitzpatrick. So believe Indy QB Jacoby Brissett, who has performed on a high level, will have some trouble finding his rhythm with top RB Marlon Mack being mostly contained. Steelers own the most versatile weapon in RB James Conner (235 YR, 26 catches), and watch for top deep threat Ju Ju Smith-Schuster to  do biz against a Colt secondary, with only 5 picks. Also, favor “over” with Colts going that way 6-3 TY and Mike Tomlin’s crew 6-3 “over” last 9 at Heinz Field.

Previous meetings

Date

Team

Score

Line

1st down

RA/RY

PC/PA/I/PY

F/F lost

2017

Pittsburgh

20

-10.5

 

 

 

 

 

Indianapolis

17

46.5 (un)

 

 

 

 

2016

Pittsburgh

28

-8.5

 

 

 

 

 

Indianapolis

7

50 (un)

 

 

 

 

SU Record: Pittsburgh 22-6

 

Gold Sheet Links: Articles | NFL Analysis | College Analysis | Key Releases | GS and Vegas Lines |

Power Ratings | Looking for an Angle | Special Ticker | Extra Tech Play | Last Week’s Stats | NFL Logs | College Logs

 

College Analysis

 

College Key Releases

Date

Event

Play

Saturday 9/8/2020

Troy @ Coastal Carolina

Troy by 10

 

Boston College @ Syracuse

Boston College by 8

 

Oregon @ Southern California

Southern California by 6

 

Florida vs Georgia

Florida by 7

 

Thursday, October 31, 2019

 

Predicted Score

GS Line

GS Power Rating

PR Line

Georgia Southern

16

 

19

 

Appalachian State

38

-17

5 (3)

-17

Undefeated ASU, plus QB Thomas (LY’s Belt POY) and rest of Mounties seeking to avenge LY’s loss at GSU, when Thomas was KO’d and App State backups self-destructed. Eagle 3-gm. win streak unimpressive (in OT vs. S. Ala. & Coastal, then LW’s big win vs. N. Mex. St.), and more-athletic Mountaineers capable of dealing with the option. TV-ESPNU

Previous meetings

Date

Team

Score

Line

1st down

RA/RY

PC/PA/I/PY

F/F lost

10/7/18

App. State

14

-10.5

14

36/149

12/27/4/139

2/1

 

GA. Southern

34

47.5 (ov)

14

50/277

1/3/0/57

3/0

10/28/17

GA. Southern

6

52 (un)

 

 

 

 

 

App. State

27

-17.5

 

 

 

 

10/14/16

App. State

34

-6

 

 

 

 

 

GA. Southern

10

46 (un)

 

 

 

 

SU Record: Georgia Southern 18-14-1

 

 

Predicted Score

GS Line

GS Power Rating

PR Line

West Virginia

19

 

17

 

Baylor

41

-16.5

4 (3)

-16

Look-ee here at who’s on top of the Big 12! Baylor still unbeaten and now rested for a stretch run that gets much tougher in November. Bears also might mistake WVU for September foes UTSA or Rice, as Neal Brown confirming he wasn’t hired in Morgantown for any defensive expertise (Mounties conceding 44 ppg L3). Chance for Baylor QB Brewer (15th nationally total off.) to do some damage. TV-ESPN

Previous meetings

Date

Team

Score

Line

1st down

RA/RY

PC/PA/I/PY

F/F lost

2018

Baylor

14

67.5 (ov)

17

36/82

17/29/3/205

3/1

 

West Virginia

58

-14

22

33/172

21/31/0/396

1/0

2017

West Virginia

38

-10

 

 

 

 

 

Baylor

36

68 (ov)

 

 

 

 

2016

Baylor

21

68.5 (un)

 

 

 

 

 

West Virginia

24

-17.5

 

 

 

 

SU Record: West Virginia 5-2

 

Friday, November 1, 2019

 

Predicted Score

GS Line

GS Power Rating

PR Line

Navy

42

-26

7

-26

Connecticut

10

 

35 (2)

 

After nearly blowing 21-0 lead in last second 41-38 win over Tulane along with bye week upcoming, expect AAC West contender & triple-option kingpin Navy (nation-leading 350.7 ypg) to sustain 4-Q intensity vs. defenseless UConn (37.6), which hasn’t covered 3 straight since 2013. Middies’ speedy option operator Perry getting increasing support from soph RB Carothers, who had 154 YR & 3 TDs vs. Wave. Huskies’ top weapon RB Mensah is muffled by Navy’ stout rush D, ranked 18th nationally.

TV-ESPN2

Previous meetings

Date

Team

Score

Line

1st down

RA/RY

PC/PA/I/PY

F/F lost

10/15/16

Connecticut

24

44 (ov)

 

 

 

 

 

Navy

28

-4

 

 

 

 

SU Record: Navy 8-1

 

Saturday, November 2, 2019

 

Predicted Score

GS Line

GS Power Rating

PR Line

NC State

17

 

13

 

Wake Forest

34

-9

7 (3)

-9

Check injury wire, as Wake’s dangerous QB Newman (ranks 7th in total offense) nursing a shoulder, though Dave Clawson has faith in former starter Hartman, who went wire-to-wire in recent FSU win. While Deacs have multiple QBs, not sure NCS has any, as Dave Doeren still unsettled upon his pilot (frosh Leary likely 3rd starter in as many games). Pack no covers last 5 away from Raleigh.

Previous meetings

Date

Team

Score

Line

1st down

RA/RY

PC/PA/I/PY

F/F lost

2018

Wake Forest

27

67.5 (un)

22

38/238

22/33/0/297

1/1

 

NC State

23

-19

23

27/47

35/53/1/374

1/0

2017

NC State

24

62.5 (un)

 

 

 

 

 

Wake Forest

30

-2.5

 

 

 

 

2016

Wake Forest

16

48.5 (ov)

 

 

 

 

 

NC State

33

-13

 

 

 

 

SU Record: NC State 66-40-6

 

 

Predicted Score

GS Line

GS Power Rating

PR Line

Liberty

45

-21

29

-20

Massachusetts

21

 

51 (2)

 

Liberty failed as road chalk LW at motivated Big Ten rep Rutgers. Now Flames drop in class and draw UMass side which ranks 130th defensively in the 4 major categories. Minutemen got offensive boosts vs. UConn with the return of QB Brito (239 YP, 2 TD), but Liberty QB Calvert has a 15-0 TD-int ratio since throwing his last int. Sept. 7, and UMass yielded 9 .0 ypc L2Gs (6.5 ypc TY)!

Previous meetings

Date

Team

Score

Line

1st down

RA/RY

PC/PA/I/PY

F/F lost

2018

Liberty

59

-1.5

31

51/216

16/35/4/272

3/2

 

Massachusetts

62

67.5 (ov)

23

27/47

35/53/1/374

1/0

SU Record: Massachusetts 1-0

 

 

Predicted Score

GS Line

GS Power Rating

PR Line

Old Dominion

10

 

34

 

Florida International

31

-17

20 (3)

-17

ODU’s offense has disappeared somewhere along the Chesapeake Bay Bridge-Tunnel, as acute lack of pop (Monarchs 128th in scoring and dead last 130th in total O...sheesh!) rumored to have HC Wilder in trouble. If FIU as angered as we suspect after blowout loss at MTSU, Golden Panthers take out some frustrations here and keep flickering bowl hopes alive.

Previous meetings

Date

Team

Score

Line

1st down

RA/RY

PC/PA/I/PY

F/F lost

2018

FL. Inter.

28

-1

25

51/189

19/31/1/300

2/0

 

Old Dominion

20

51.5 (un)

16

27/93

19/37/0/303

1/0

2017

Old Dominion

37

48.5 (ov)

 

 

 

 

 

FL. Inter.

30

-10

 

 

 

 

2016

FL. Inter.

28

60.5 (ov)

 

 

 

 

 

Old Dominion

42

-13.5

 

 

 

 

SU Record: Old Dominion 3-2

 

 

Predicted Score

GS Line

GS Power Rating

PR Line

Troy

38

-1

19

-1

Coastal Carolina

28

 

22 (2)

 

*** Key Release: Troy by 10

At short price, would recommend defensively-suspect but resilient Troy, which is 8-2 vs. spread following a SU loss since 2016. Trojans’ productive QB Barker (421 YP vs, Georgia State, 18 TDP TY) should easily outduel Coastal‘s soph triggerman Carpenter in his 3rd career start. Chanticleers 0-6 vs. spread last 6 at home vs. FBS foes.

Previous meetings

Date

Team

Score

Line

1st down

RA/RY

PC/PA/I/PY

F/F lost

10/7/18

Co. Carolina

21

56.5 (ov)

21

54/145

18/22/1/172

1/1

 

Troy

45

-14

18

31/282

14/19/1/185

3/1

10/28/17

Troy

42

-17

 

 

 

 

 

Co. Carolina

17

52.5 (un)

 

 

 

 

SU Record: Troy 2-0

 

 

Predicted Score

GS Line

GS Power Rating

PR Line

Pittsburgh

29

-10

8

-11

Georgia Tech

13

 

22 (3)

 

Assuming the stench of Miami hasn’t rubbed off much on either of these sides (both involved in ugly-fests vs. Canes past two weeks), Pitt offers fewer reasons to pause. Panther O and QB Pickett (only 8 TDP) still a bit pedestrian, but Pat Narduzzi’s14th-ranked D still fully functional. Remember that the reconfigured Jackets under Geoff Collins hadn’t covered a spread until Miami played Santa Claus on Oct. 19.

Previous meetings

Date

Team

Score

Line

1st down

RA/RY

PC/PA/I/PY

F/F lost

2018

Georgia Tech

19

-3.5

22

56/320

6/15/1/66

3/1

 

Pittsburgh

24

55 (un)

16

31/138

16/23/1/197

1/0

2016

Georgia Tech

34

51.5 (ov)

 

 

 

 

 

Pittsburgh

37

-6.5

 

 

 

 

SU Record: Pittsburgh 8-5

 

 

Predicted Score

GS Line

GS Power Rating

PR Line

Michigan

42

-22.5

-3

-23

Maryland

16

 

23 (3)

 

Michigan HC Harbaugh’s side showing what the preseason hype was about, and Wolverines have covered 4 of L5. Certainly Harbaugh hasn’t taken it easy on Maryland, winning L4 by big margins. Terps unlikely to come in back-door, as Locksley’s attack has been shut down by solid B1G defenses (1 TD vs. Penn State & Minny combined), and UM qualifies. Look for Michigan QB Patterson to gut 116th-ranked Maryland pass defense, while Charbonnet-Haskins RB duo work on Terp run D that’s yielded 5.9 ypc L2Gs.

Previous meetings

Date

Team

Score

Line

1st down

RA/RY

PC/PA/I/PY

F/F lost

2018

Maryland

21

45 (ov)

11

31/147

7/13/1/73

0/0

 

Michigan

42

-17.5

24

40/171

20/28/1/294

0/0

2017

Michigan

35

-16.5

 

 

 

 

 

Maryland

10

47.5 (un)

 

 

 

 

2016

Maryland

3

54 (ov)

 

 

 

 

 

Michigan

59

-30.5

 

 

 

 

SU Record: Michigan 7-1

 

 

Predicted Score

GS Line

GS Power Rating

PR Line

Boston College

31

-2

13

-2

Syracuse

23

 

18 (3)

 

*** Key Release: Boston College by 8

Since  BC  has  the  most dangerous  weapon  on  gridiron  in  record-breaking  RB  Dillon  (just  became Eagles’  all-time  leading  rusher),  wholeheartedly  recommend  bucking  one- dimensional,  offensively-pedestrian  Syracuse  (114th    in  rushing;  23.8  ppg), which is 1-6 vs. spread vs. FBS foes TY.  BC’s serviceable QB Grosel regains confidence  from crushing by Clemson vs. inviting Orange pass D, allowing 267 ypg (110th).

Previous meetings

Date

Team

Score

Line

1st down

RA/RY

PC/PA/I/PY

F/F lost

2018

Syracuse

42

58.5 (ov)

28

58/197

21/35/1/362

0/0

 

Boston College

21

-6

18

32/105

17/37/2/251

3/2

2017

Boston College

42

-4

 

 

 

 

 

Syracuse

14

57 (un)

 

 

 

 

2016

Syracuse

28

50.5 (un)

 

 

 

 

 

Boston College

20

-4

 

 

 

 

SU Record: Syracuse 31-20

 

 

Predicted Score

GS Line

GS Power Rating

PR Line

Virginia

24

 

9

 

North Carolina

19

pk

10 (3)

-2

In this key ACC Coastal Division battle pitting teams tied for 1st place, would suggest backing defensively- superior UVA (11th in total D; 3.0 ypc), led by dynamic QB Perkins, who accounted for 329 yards in his team’s 31-21 home win LY. UNC has made a habit of playing close games (7 of 8 TY decided by 7 pts or fewer), and true frosh QB Howell (10 of 26 with 2 picks) played like one in taut 20-17 win over Tobacco Road rival Duke.

Previous meetings

Date

Team

Score

Line

1st down

RA/RY

PC/PA/I/PY

F/F lost

2018

North Carolina

21

51 (ov)

14

22/66

22/38/0/271

1/1

 

Virginia

31

-8

23

44/208

18/27/1/217

1/0

2017

Virginia

20

-3.5

 

 

 

 

 

North Carolina

14

52 (un)

 

 

 

 

2016

North Carolina

35

-10.5

 

 

 

 

 

Virginia

14

68.5 (un)

 

 

 

 

SU Record: North Carolina 64-56-4

 

 

Predicted Score

GS Line

GS Power Rating

PR Line

NC State

17

 

13

 

Wake Forest

34

-9

7 (3)

-9

Check injury wire, as Wake’s dangerous QB Newman (ranks 7th in total offense) nursing a shoulder, though Dave Clawson has faith in former starter Hartman, who went wire-to-wire in recent FSU win. While Deacs have multiple QBs, not sure NCS has any, as Dave Doeren still unsettled upon his pilot (frosh Leary likely 3rd starter in as many games). Pack no covers last 5 away from Raleigh.

Previous meetings

Date

Team

Score

Line

1st down

RA/RY

PC/PA/I/PY

F/F lost

2018

Wake Forest

27

67.5 (un)

22

38/238

22/33/0/297

1/1

 

NC State

23

-19

23

27/47

35/53/1/374

1/0

2017

NC State

24

62.5 (un)

 

 

 

 

 

Wake Forest

30

-2.5

 

 

 

 

2016

Wake Forest

16

48.5 (ov)

 

 

 

 

 

NC State

33

-13

 

 

 

 

SU Record: NC State 66-40-6

 

 

Predicted Score

GS Line

GS Power Rating

PR Line

Liberty

45

-21

29

-20

Massachusetts

21

 

51 (2)

 

Liberty failed as road chalk LW at motivated Big Ten rep Rutgers. Now Flames drop in class and draw UMass side which ranks 130th defensively in the 4 major categories. Minutemen got offensive boosts vs. UConn with the return of QB Brito (239 YP, 2 TD), but Liberty QB Calvert has a 15-0 TD-int ratio since throwing his last int. Sept. 7, and UMass yielded 9 .0 ypc L2Gs (6.5 ypc TY)!

Previous meetings

Date

Team

Score

Line

1st down

RA/RY

PC/PA/I/PY

F/F lost

2018

Liberty

59

-1.5

31

51/216

16/35/4/272

3/2

 

Massachusetts

62

67.5 (ov)

23

27/47

35/53/1/374

1/0

SU Record: Massachusetts 1-0

 

 

Predicted Score

GS Line

GS Power Rating

PR Line

Old Dominion

10

 

34

 

Florida International

31

-17

20 (3)

-17

ODU’s offense has disappeared somewhere along the Chesapeake Bay Bridge-Tunnel, as acute lack of pop (Monarchs 128th in scoring and dead last 130th in total O...sheesh!) rumored to have HC Wilder in trouble. If FIU as angered as we suspect after blowout loss at MTSU, Golden Panthers take out some frustrations here and keep flickering bowl hopes alive.

Previous meetings

Date

Team

Score

Line

1st down

RA/RY

PC/PA/I/PY

F/F lost

2018

FL. Inter.

28

-1

25

51/189

19/31/1/300

2/0

 

Old Dominion

20

51.5 (un)

16

27/93

19/37/0/303

1/0

2017

Old Dominion

37

48.5 (ov)

 

 

 

 

 

FL. Inter.

30

-10

 

 

 

 

2016

FL. Inter.

28

60.5 (ov)

 

 

 

 

 

Old Dominion

42

-13.5

 

 

 

 

SU Record: Old Dominion 3-2

 

 

Predicted Score

GS Line

GS Power Rating

PR Line

Troy

38

-1

19

-1

Coastal Carolina

28

 

22 (2)

 

*** Key Release: Troy by 10

At short price, would recommend defensively-suspect but resilient Troy, which is 8-2 vs. spread following a SU loss since 2016. Trojans’ productive QB Barker (421 YP vs, Georgia State, 18 TDP TY) should easily outduel Coastal‘s soph triggerman Carpenter in his 3rd career start. Chanticleers 0-6 vs. spread last 6 at home vs. FBS foes.

Previous meetings

Date

Team

Score

Line

1st down

RA/RY

PC/PA/I/PY

F/F lost

10/7/18

Co. Carolina

21

56.5 (ov)

21

54/145

18/22/1/172

1/1

 

Troy

45

-14

18

31/282

14/19/1/185

3/1

10/28/17

Troy

42

-17

 

 

 

 

 

Co. Carolina

17

52.5 (un)

 

 

 

 

SU Record: Troy 2-0

 

 

Predicted Score

GS Line

GS Power Rating

PR Line

Pittsburgh

29

-10

8

-11

Georgia Tech

13

 

22 (3)

 

Assuming the stench of Miami hasn’t rubbed off much on either of these sides (both involved in ugly-fests vs. Canes past two weeks), Pitt offers fewer reasons to pause. Panther O and QB Pickett (only 8 TDP) still a bit pedestrian, but Pat Narduzzi’s14th-ranked D still fully functional. Remember that the reconfigured Jackets under Geoff Collins hadn’t covered a spread until Miami played Santa Claus on Oct. 19.

Previous meetings

Date

Team

Score

Line

1st down

RA/RY

PC/PA/I/PY

F/F lost

2018

Georgia Tech

19

-3.5

22

56/320

6/15/1/66

3/1

 

Pittsburgh

24

55 (un)

16

31/138

16/23/1/197

1/0

2016

Georgia Tech

34

51.5 (ov)

 

 

 

 

 

Pittsburgh

37

-6.5

 

 

 

 

SU Record: Pittsburgh 8-5

 

 

Predicted Score

GS Line

GS Power Rating

PR Line

Michigan

42

-22.5

-3

-23

Maryland

16

 

23 (3)

 

Michigan HC Harbaugh’s side showing what the preseason hype was about, and Wolverines have covered 4 of L5. Certainly Harbaugh hasn’t taken it easy on Maryland, winning L4 by big margins. Terps unlikely to come in back-door, as Locksley’s attack has been shut down by solid B1G defenses (1 TD vs. Penn State & Minny combined), and UM qualifies. Look for Michigan QB Patterson to gut 116th-ranked Maryland pass defense, while Charbonnet-Haskins RB duo work on Terp run D that’s yielded 5.9 ypc L2Gs.

Previous meetings

Date

Team

Score

Line

1st down

RA/RY

PC/PA/I/PY

F/F lost

2018

Maryland

21

45 (ov)

11

31/147

7/13/1/73