Updated Tuesday 08/20/2002 10:35 AM
The Pac-10 Conference
WASHINGTON
STATE...Best-balanced team, favorable schedule; 2001 no fluke.
SOUTHERN CAL...Trojans have the horses; but could come up lame
under brutal schedule.
WASHINGTON...O as strong as Starbucks espresso;
but a latte questions on defense.
OREGON STATE...Beavers chomp again if soph QB Anderson hits his
targets.
OREGON...Bellotti still underrated; but Ducks dip a bit without
Harrington.
STANFORD...Teevens Fun n Gun good for offense; what
about defense?
ARIZONA...Cats have firepower; has Mackovic fixed defense,
confidence?
UCLA...Seat gets hotter for Toledo if QBs dont come through.
ARIZONA STATE...Koetter facing QB inexperience, shaken team chemistry.
CALIFORNIA...Can new coach Tedford, old QB Boller awaken Bears
hibernation?
ARIZONA
(SUR 5-6; PSR 5-6)HC John Mackovic (2nd year in Tucson) spent
much of spring looking for ways to improve sieve-like defense that gave
up a U of A-record 377 points. Coaches have thus installed more blitz
packages to generate pressure on opposing QBs, while also simplifying
coverage schemes for disappointing secondary that was scorched all LY.
Quick 6-4, 250 juco DE Andre Torrey is being counted upon to bring a
much-needed pass rush to a DL that lost 3 starters. Thankfully, LB corps
solid, as all three starters return, led by sr. Lance Briggs (93 tackles
& 6.5 sacks; both team highs). Coaches do feel secure about one
CB with return of jr. Jolivette.
Picture much better on the offensive side of the ball, where Wildcats
return top QB, RB and WR. Sr. Jason Johnson (2347 YP, 19 TDs LY; but
too many back-breaking TOs) should benefit from being in 2nd season
in system of the meticulous Mackovic. His main target, sr. WR Bobby
Wade (62 recs; 8 TDs), requires extra attention from defenses.
Three starters return to the OL, which should again pave the way for
dynamic jr. RB Clarence Farmer (1229 YR; 5.9 ypc), the Pac-10s
top rusher LY.
Summary
Wildcats offense, one of the best-balanced
in the country, should again wreak havoc on Pac-10 defenses. Number
of wins (and covers), therefore, will be determined by how much improvement
can be made on defense that deteriorated badly from Desert Swarm
of years past.
ARIZONA
STATE (SUR 4-7; PSR 5-6)Second-year HC Dirk Koetter shook
things up quite a bit in his inaugural season in Tempe. Pac-10 def.
coords. winced when they had to prepare for his wide-open, multi-set
passing attack, used successfully while guiding Boise State. However,
Sun Devils might take a step backward first, before leaping forward
TY. Thats because theres no proven QB to direct Koetters
sophisticated attack TY, and OL returns just one starter (4 drafted
by NFL teams; another one signed as FA).
Starting QB Jeff Krohn (nearly 2000 YP LY) jumped ship, transferring
to I-AA UMass, because he didnt think he fit into Koetters
system. A three-way battle for QB produced no clear-cut winner in spring.
Coaches say RS frosh Chad Christensen slightly outperformed soph Andrew
Walter and juco Andy Goodenough (rated as top JC QB; but slow to pick-up
Koetters offense).
Theres plenty of talent at WR, led by jr. Shaun McDonald (1104
yds. LY) and converted safety Michael Holloway (scouts say he has excellent
hands). Deepest set of skill players is at RB, where jr. Mike Williams
is being pushed by RS frosh Hakim Hill (son of former NFL standout J.D.).
OL Regis Crawford is the lone returning starter up front, and hes
learning a new position (moved from OG to OT in spring). The top 8 OLmen
have shed a combined 200 lbs. (quick-footed blockers are preferable
to hog-types in Koetters passing schemes).
Meanwhile, 8 starters return on ASUs 4-2-5 defense, which puts
a premium on DBs. Secondary is led by athletic soph CB R.J. Oliver &
S Jason Shivers (89 tackles; led team). The DL features bookend pass-rushers
Terrell Suggs (10 sacks LY) and emerging soph Connor Banks.
Summary...Koetter was disappointed with lack of execution in
spring, and says he previously underestimated the degree of divisiveness
within the team due to changeover from Bruce Snyder. Sun Devils better
find a QB and unite in a hurry (open at Nebraska).
CALIFORNIA (SUR 1-10; PSR 3-8)Much sought-after new HC
Jeff Tedford (former o.c. at Oregon; turned down other jobs) ambitiously
seeks to turn around Cal program that hit rock bottom last year (1-10;
Tom Holmoe fired). Tedford is considered one of the games brightest
young offensive minds, with noted expertise in developing QBs (mentored
Ducks prolific QB Joey Harrington).
Tedfords first project is to get sr. QB Kyle Boller to play up
to his projected potential. Tedford (former QB himself) says there were
flaws in Bollers throwing mechanics, and spent the spring working
to correct them. To his credit, Boller responded favorably to the new
instruction (has studied videos of Harringtons delivery and new
system), while learning his 3rd offense in 4 years!
Tedford had much more talent at WR in Eugene than has at Cal. The best
is sr. LeShaun Ward (switched to WR from CB); the speediest might be
soph Michael Sparks (converted from RB). Starting TE likely will go
to skilled juco Brandon Hall.
Backfield suffered major blow in spring, when talented RB Adimchinobe
Echemaandu (formerly Joseph Echema) tore an ACL and could be lost for
the season. Soph Terrell Williams (688 LY) and steady sr. Joe Igber
(3-yr. starter) return, but highly-touted incoming frosh Marcus OKeith
(L.A. prep phenom) could see lots of action (if not redshirted).
Tedfords enormous task of improving offense pales in comparison
to work needed on defense. Cal allowed school-record 431 points LY (39
ppg!). Coaches say talent on DL is not that bad (4 starters back), and
that porous secondary can hardly fail to improve with experience.
Summary...Hard to expect much in Tedfords first season
(completely new systems; 8 new assts.). Any success highly dependant
on whether sr. QB Boller can significantly elevate his play.
OREGON
(SUR 11-1; 7-5)Rather than stew about whether Ducks should
have played in LYs BCS title game (Oregon beat Colorado in Fiesta
Bowl consolation), HC Bellotti (8, 9, 10, 11 wins L4Ys)
spent spring grooming replacement for QB Joey Harrington (2764 YP LY).
Jr. QB Jason Fife emerged as the frontrunner (slightly outplayed strong-armed
RS frosh Kellen Clemens in spring), but Bellotti says competition will
re-open in fall.
Whoever gets the nod will again have luxury of talented group of skill
players around him. Hard-running jr. Onterrio Smith (1007 YR) could
put up eye-popping numbers now that hes no longer splitting time
with Maurice Morris (NFL 2nd round). Ever-dangerous set of Duck WRs
includes Keenan Howry, Jason Willis, and speedster jr. Samie Parker
(4.3).
Defensively, front seven looks solid, but main concern is 2ndary that
lost two top CBs (Rashad Bauman and Steve Smith). Scouts say Ducks might
be forced into playing lots of zone coverage rather than their preferred
man-on-man (frees up LBs to stunt more; LBs most experienced unit on
defense).
Summary...Might be hard for Ducks to match recent win totals
after losing 11 starters, including heart-and-soul of team, QB Harrington.
But be careful before bucking Ducks at home (Oregon has won 25 of last
26 SU at noisy Autzen Stadium; added 12,000 new seats).
OREGON
STATE (SUR 5-6; PSR 5-5)After going 11-1 in 2000, Beavers
fell back to earth with a thud, finishing below .500 LY (HC Dennis Erickson
says team rested on its laurels). Optimism restored in Corvallis, however,
fueled by a vet defense (3rd best in Pac-10; returns 8 starters), a
new, strong-armed QB, and a plethora of dangerous Erickson-type skill
players.
Coaches think defense, led by sr. CBs A-A Dennis Weathersby & Terrell
Roberts, could be as good as smothering 2000 edition. Three starters
return to the DL, with a nice blend of savvy experience and talented
youth. LBs, led by MLB Siegler (93 tackles; good pass defender), are
solid, but not deep.
Erickson confident that despite loss of QB Jonathan Smith (3+ yrs. as
starter) and star RB Ken Simonton (schools career rushing leader),
Beaver offense will move ball. Focus now on 6-6, 235 soph QB Derek Anderson
(2nd-rated HS QB by many in 2000). Erickson says Anderson has chance
to be best QB hes ever coached! Anderson better be durable, too,
as theres no experienced backup. Soph RB Steven Jackson (fumble
problems LY) is bigger (6-1, near 230!) and a tad faster than the graduated
Simonton, and has shown impressive ability when given chance (5.3 ypc
LY; 63-yd. TDR vs. UCLA).
James Newson (968 yds. LY, but drop problem at times) is
top returning WR, but coaches are raving about potential of 6-3 RS frosh
Jayson Boyd.
OL looks okay, but coaches say more consistency is needed.
Summary...Confidence growing again in Corvallis, where insiders
feel LYs tumble was a one-year deal in a now-elevated
program. Pac-10 teams had better not overlook Ericksons skilled,
& highly-motivated troops TY.
SOUTHERN CAL (SUR 6-6; PSR 6-6)Trojans coming off potentially
deceptive .500 season (lost to Utah 10-6 in Las Vegas Bowl) in HC Pete
Carrolls inaugural campaign, which included key win over crosstown
rival UCLA. USC enters 2002 season with longest winning streak in Pac-10
(5), impressive when considering Trojans LY were learning a new off.
system (clever o.c. Chow installed BYU-style passing attack) and then
lost top RB Sultan McCullough at midseason due to abdominal injury.
SC backfield now deep and dangerous, as McCullough healthy again, Michigan
transfer Justin Fargas (former L.A.-area prep star) impressed in spring,
and powerful sr. Malaefou Mackenzie is back (sat out LY; returned to
Samoa after fathers death). OL starters strong, but depth a major
concern.
Passing game should improve a notch with talented sr. QB Carson Palmer
(finally learning not to force throws) working with host of fleet WRs,
led by speedy Kareem Kelly (still too many drops) and Keary Colbert.
Replacements are needed in order for stout defense (fewest pts. allowed
in conf. LY) to perform up to LYs level. There are some holes
in promising DL, which is anchored by quick soph Shaun Cody (6-5, 275)
and huge sr. Bernard Riley (6-3, 305). Trojans lost one starting LB
and both starting CBs, but former NFL d.c. Carroll likes play of new
2ndary starters Marcell Almond (converted WR) and Darrell Rideaux (only
5-9, but fast). Yet he remains worried about matchups vs. the bigger,
physical Pac-10 WRs.
Summary...If OL & DL (traditional strengths until recently
at USC) play up to potential, Trojans have the talent (Carroll enjoyed
excellent recruiting campaign) elsewhere to rise back into national
picture. However, SC also plays one of most difficult schedules in nation
TY, which will severely test teams mettle (something even reputed
staunch alumni have begun to doubt in recent campaigns).
STANFORD (SUR 9-3; PSR 7-5)New HC Buddy Teevens (replaces
popular Ty Willingham; to Notre Dame) brings a new, exciting playbook
to the Farm that rivals schools textbooks in thickness. Teevens
(off. coord. at Florida L2Ys) is implementing his version of the Fun
n Gun offense he learned under Steve Spurrier. If future-NFL jr.
QB Chris Lewis (2456 YP, 20 TDs in two seasons part-time duty) can master
nuances of new passing schemes (QB needs to make quick decisions at
line on almost every play), then Cardinal offense could be even more
entertaining than Stanford band!
Lewis will utilize an array of quality targets, none bigger than intimidating
6-7, 245 soph Teyo Johnson (power F in hoops). WRs Luke Powell and Ryan
Wells are both shifty and dangerous. 6-6 sr. TE Brett Pierce also a
threat.
OL returns 3 starters. And 6-2, 235 sr. RB Kerry Carter (offseason shoulder
surgery; expected to be OK) should get majority of carries TY, after
splitting time with departed Brian Allen (899 yds. LY).
HOWEVER, while the offense should be fun to watch, play of defense could
be downright agonizing. Nine starters need to be replaced, including
NFL draftees LB Coy Wire and S Tank Williams. Cardinal lost 3 of 4 starting
DBs, and all of its starting LBs, from unit that allowed 29 ppg (RS
frosh LB Michael Craven is highly-touted).
Summary...Highest-paid person in Palo Alto TY could be scoreboard
operator! Lewis-Johnson aerial combo is scary enough itself, but Teevens
has many potent weapons. Hell likely need to use every one in
order for offense to outscore the allowance of the questionable, rebuilding
defense.
UCLA (SUR 7-4; PSR 6-5)Bruins getting into frustrating
pattern in recent seasons (excluding 1999); promising starts followed
by near-total collapses. UCLA won first six games of 2001 season, then
finished losing 4 of last 5. Now, its hard to imagine Bob Toledos
team getting off to similar fast break from gate unless sr. QB Corey
Paus steps definitively into leadership role while new skill performers
develop.
Paus (primary starter LY; 1740 YP) led the open battle for QB in spring
and will have to fend off challenges from a couple of promising incoming
frosh in fall. Thats because Paus has yet to live up to his ability
due to injuries and to off-field troubles (2 alcohol-related convictions;
a little jail over winter; lost trust of teammates LY). Toledo says
Paus is gone if he gets into any more trouble. However, QBs behind Paus
are so inexperienced that multi-dimensional star Matt Ware (CB LY as
frosh; S TY, maybe some WR) could play some situational snaps TY (coaches
put in several plays for him in spring).
Four starters return to OL, but departure of A-A RB DeShaun Foster (1109
LY) has left Bruins bereft of any proven breakaway threat (although
promising true frosh TE/WR/DE Marcedes Lewis will play early).
Front 7, a strength LY (improved to 3.3 ypc LY) now counting on more
quantity than quality. Secondary has big-play potential with 5-9 sr.
press CB Ricky Manning shutting down one opponent wideout
and the fluid blue-chip soph Ware patrolling the middle.
Summary...Disappointing season-ending finish, including 3rd straight
loss to USC, has Toledo feeling the heat. Without Fosters big
plays, Paus (or one of the frosh QBs) must produce in order for the
Bruins to click.
WASHINGTON (SUR 8-4; PSR 6-6)Huskies
figure to put even more points on the board this season (28 ppg LY)
with return of starting jr. QB Cody Pickett, who has a group of fast,
seasoned WRs (6-4 soph Reggie Williams is special) and an experienced
OL (4 of 5 starters). The still-learning Pickett threw for third-highest
single-season total in school history (2403 yds.) LY, despite playing
much of season with separated shoulder of varying degrees. He was 1
of 8 Huskies (!) who underwent offseason shoulder surgery (all expected
to recover).
Coaches moved soph Zach Tuiasosopo from LB to FB to help improve lagging
running game (only 3.0 ypc). Scouts say slimmed-down TB Rich Alexis
(dropped 11 pounds) is quicker, and hell compete with RBs Braxton
Cleman and Chris Singleton (both under 4.5 speed) for playing time.
HC Neuheisel more concerned about defense (says hes a couple of
recruiting classes away from desired depth) that must replace A-A NT
Larry Triplett and DE Marcus Roberson up front and still isnt
sure if pass-rushing specialist Kai Ellis will be at 100% (chronic knee
injury; out most of spring; check in fall). Secondary banking on return
to health of CB Derrick Johnson (missed 2001 with foot injury) and S
Jimmy Newell (missed most of LY with shoulder injury). But Neuheisel
says LBs, led by ILB Ben Mahdavi and budding soph star Joseph Lobendahn,
might be best group hes ever had!
Summary...Washington appears to be a year away from re-arriving
in Top Ten. But Neuheisel thinks Huskies future is now (believes
Pac-10 and national title are attainable!). Whether they can run &
stop the run (4.2 ypc LY) the keys to how far UW can go.
WASHINGTON STATE (SUR 10-2; PSR 7-4)WSU coming off an impressive
2001 campaign. With 14 starters returning, including the Pac-10s
top QB (in terms of pass eff.), no reason to believe it wont be
the Year of the Cougar once again.
QB Jason Gesser (3,010 YP; led Pac-10 in total offense) developing into
one of nations top field generals. He now runs the Coug attack
with aplomb, yet often doesnt get the recognition he deserves.
His group of WRs, led by 6-6 hoopster Mike Bush (10 TDs LY), is big,
fast and athletic. Coaches are high on soph Devard Darling (Florida
State transfer; sat out LY) and sr. Jerome Riley.
OL returns 4 of 5 starters, including all-Pac-10 G D. Roche. Rush game
could be better than LY, despite loss of ex-Marine RB Dave Minnich (815
LY). Bigger and faster juco Jermaine Green (6-1, 215) arrives in Pullman
from powerful Butler CC in Kansas, following 1000-yd. season. HC Mike
Price calls Green best RB at Wazzou since Steve Broussard ran loose
in the Palouse!
Defense is solid up front (3 of 4 return; DE Acholonu had most sacks
in Pac-10 LY), as is the secondary, esp. at CB. Coaches also very high
on jr. S Erik Coleman (Price says Coleman could be as good as graduated
A-A Lamont Thompson). Wazzus prime def. worry is at LB, where
jucos and underclassmen must step up.
Summary...Cougars might field best OL/DL combo in Pac-10 TY.
With mobile QB Gesser, offense could be scary if juco Green the real
deal. If opportunistic defense (+12 TOs LY) rounds into shape, and Cougars
win at Ohio State in third game, even a BCS Bowl is realistic!